London, October 02, 2024, (Oilandgaspress) ––– TotalEnergies advances its balanced and profitable transition strategy anchored on two pillars: Oil & Gas, notably LNG, and electricity, growing its global energy production (oil, gas, electricity, bioenergy) by 4% per year through 2030 while drastically lowering the emissions from its operations (-40% on Scope 1+2 net in 2030 vs 2015 and – 80% on methane in 2030 vs 2020). As a result of this transition strategy, the average carbon content of TotalEnergies energy sales will be 25% lower in 2030 vs 2015.
Since its last outlook in September 2023, TotalEnergies has de-risked its growth and profitability perspectives in several ways:
Oil & Gas production average growth of ~3% per year to 2030, led by LNG, thanks to the launch of six major projects in 2024 (two in Brazil, Suriname, Angola, Oman, Nigeria) that de-risk, high-grade and extend guidance from 2028 to 2030. Over the next two years 2025 and 2026, growth will exceed 3% per year due to the start-up of several high margin projects (US GoM, Brazil, Iraq, Uganda, Argentina, Malaysia, Qatar) which are accretive in net income per barrel and cash-flow per barrel. In 2024, the Company has also de-risked its LNG exposure to spot gas prices by signing long-term LNG sales contracts mainly indexed on Brent and by developing its upstream gas production in the US through two low-cost acquisitions.
Natural gas is indeed at the core of TotalEnergies’ transition strategy through an outstanding LNG growth (+50% over 2024-2030) and a gas-to-power integration supporting its profitable Integrated Power strategy to complement the intermittent renewables.
Growing electricity generation, reaching more than 100 TWh in 2030, of which 70% will be renewable and 30% flexible-based. It will represent nearly 20% of global energy production of the Company. By actively completing in 2024 its integrated model in key targeted deregulated markets, Integrated Power is making progress on its main levers to achieve at least 12% ROACE by 2028-2030 and will be net cash positive by 2028.
TotalEnergies confirms net investments between $16-18 billion per year during 2025-2030, of which around $5 billion will be dedicated to low-carbon energies. The Company retains flexibility to reduce its net investments by $2 billion in case of a sharp drop in prices.
Thanks to this clear and disciplined investment policy and the perspective for +$10 billion of free cash flow growth by 2030 (versus 2024 at same price deck), the Board of Directors has confirmed a shareholder return2 of over 40% of cash flow through cycles and has made the following decisions:
In 2024, execute $8 billion in share buybacks3, corresponding to approximately 5% of the Company’s capital. Anticipated shareholder return2 is above 45% of 2024 cash flow.In 2025, continue share buybacks3 of $2 billion per quarter assuming reasonable market conditions, and increase the dividend per share by at least 5% based on the 2024 share buybacks.
Patrick Pouyanné, Chairman and CEO, and the members of the Executive Committee will present TotalEnergies’ Strategy & Outlook in New York today.
Information Source: Read Press Release
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